Alzheimer's Disease Epidemiology Forecast and Market Analysis to 2023

AD is an irreversible, neurodegenerative brain disease of the elderly, which leads to a progressive decline in memory and cognitive abilities, such as thinking, language, and learning capacity. Similar to AD, mild cognitive impairment (MCI) is also a condition of the elderly in which there is a slight but noticeable and measurable decline in cognitive abilities, including memory and thinking skills, but no dementia.

GlobalData epidemiologists forecast that by 2023, there will be approximately 17.38 million total prevalent cases of AD across the 9MM covered in this analysis. GlobalData epidemiologists expect a 34.3% increase in the total prevalent cases of AD in the 9MM over the next decade. Similarly, GlobalData epidemiologists forecast that the total prevalent cases of MCI in the 9MM will increase from 82.25 million cases in 2013 to 108.41 million cases in 2013 at a decadal growth rate of 31.80%.

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To forecast the total prevalent cases of AD in adults ages =60 years in the 9MM during the forecast period (2013-2023), GlobalData epidemiologists identified country-specific population-based studies that used the diagnostic criteria based on the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Third Edition, Revised (DSM-III-R) to diagnose dementia, and the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke-Alzheimer’s Disease and Related Disorders Association (NINCDS-ADRDA) criteria to diagnose AD. Similarly, to forecast the total prevalent cases of MCI in the 9MM, GlobalData’s epidemiologists selected country-specific studies that defined MCI as a “slight but noticeable and measurable decline in cognitive abilities, including memory and thinking skills, but no dementia.” Additionally, GlobalData epidemiologists kept the forecast methodology consistent across the...