No Marshmallows, Just Term Papers
1) Show cards, 2 Ls 2 Ms
2) Count the cards
3) Search sleeves
4) Showed the top card (L)
5) Slid the top card under the assistant’s hand
6) Count the cards again
7) Search sleeves again
8) Showed the top cards again (L)
9) Slid the top card under the assistant’s hand again
10) Magic tap
If (1) to (10) really happened, then there will be 2 Ls under the hand
(if the above premises are true, the conclusion will be true)
But we got 2 Ms under the hand. So at least one / more than one of the premises are incorrect.
Trust your usual forms of reasoning, use the same forms of reason to spot the problems, find patterns, then fix it.
After playing “No Mercy”
S.W.O.T. analysis † doesn’t give you strategy but allows you to systematically understand the situation, such that you can react intelligently.
Strengths: abilities that you posses now.
Weaknesses: weaknesses that you posses (minimize / avoid them to avoid the threats)
Opportunities: your strengths invite opportunities
Threats: invite threats by possessing weaknesses
| |High |Med |Low |
|Strengths (now) |Willing to take in the high | |Willing to spend chips |
| |cards | | |
|Weaknesses (now) |No series (might have gaps) | |Run out of chips |
|Opportunities (future) |Lots of chips | |Take few (if any) cards / big |
| | | |cards |
|Threats (future) |Would have a terribly high score|...