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Return on Investment Analysis
for E-business Projects
Mark Jeffery, Northwestern University
Introduction
The Information Paradox
Review of Basic Finance
The Time Value of Money
ROI, Internal Rate of Return (IRR),
and Payback Period
Calculating ROI for an E-business Project
Base Case
Incorporating the E-business Project
Incremental Cash Flows and IRR
Uncertainty, Risk, and ROI
Uncertainty
Sensitivity Analysis
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INTRODUCTION
As the late 1990s came to a close, many companies had
invested heavily in Internet, e-business, and information
technology. As the technology bubble burst in 2000 many
executives were asking “Where is the return on investment?” When capital to invest is scarce new e-business
and information technology (IT) projects must show a
good return on investment (ROI) in order to be funded.
This chapter will give the reader the key concepts necessary to understand and calculate ROI for e-business and
IT projects. In addition, the limitations of calculating ROI,
best practices for incorporating uncertainty and risk into
ROI analysis, and the role ROI plays in synchronizing IT
investments with corporate strategy will be discussed.
What is ROI? One conceptual definition is that ROI is a
project’s net output (cost savings and/or new revenue that
results from a project less the total project costs), divided
by the project’s total inputs (total costs), and expressed as
a percentage. The inputs are all of the project costs such
as hardware, software, programmers’ time, external consultants, and training. Therefore if a project has an ROI
of 100%, from this definition the cash benefits out of the
project will be twice as great as the original investment.
(In the section Review of Basic Finance we will discuss
how this definition of ROI,...