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Date Submitted: 05/26/2016 11:17 AM
Geneva Business School
Geneva Business School
Master of Business Administration
MBA 603
Operations Management for Masters
Adel Abu Madi - 781
Study Materials
(March 2016)
Video Case Study: Al Baik
* Does Al Baik produce a good or a service?
Answer : Service
* How does the Broasting process affect Al Baik’s productivity?
Answer: By Use low capacity frying pans
* Who are Al Baik’s main competitors?
Answer : KFC, Broasting Shop , Fast Food
* How does Al Baik differentiate itself from its competitors?
Answer :
* Meet customer expectation.
* Quality
* Low Price
PRACTICAL EXERCISES
1) Sales of Vimto for six months in Saudi Arabia are shown below:
January | February | March | April | May | June |
30000 | 40000 | 35000 | 55000 | 50500 | 70500 |
Using Moving Average, what is the demand prediction for July?
Answer: Moving average = (55000+50500+70500) /3 = 58666.6
What might account for the large increase in the month of June?
Answer: Ramadan Season
How does the Hijri calendar impact the forecasting above?
Answer: By Seasonable peaks due Ramadan and Eid’s
How accurate do you think the moving average calculated above for July is?
Answer: The forecast will not be accurate
How would you use a weighted moving average to improve the accuracy of the forecast for July?
Answer: By decrease the weigh.
2) Forecasting Exercise (Seasonal Average)
1. Calculate the seasonal Index for each month.
Answer 2-1:
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Average Demand | TAD | Seasonal Index |
Jan | 80 | 85 | 105 | 90 | 94 | 0.957 |
Feb | 70 | 85 | 85 | 80 | 94 | 0.851 |
Mar | 80 | 93 | 82 | 85 | 94 | 0.904 |
Apr | 90 | 95 | 115 | 100 | 94 | 1.064 |
May | 113 | 125 | 131 | 123 | 94 | 1.309 |
Jun | 110 | 115 | 120 | 115 | 94 | 1.223 |
Jul | 100 | 102 | 113 | 105 | 94 | 1.117 |
Aug | 88 | 102 | 110 | 100 | 94 | 1.064 |
Sep | 85 | 90 | 95 | 90 | 94 | 0.957 |
Oct | 77 | 78...