Managing Risk in an Unstable World

About Eurasia Group’s Global Political Risk Index

What is the Global Political Risk Index (GPRI)?

The GPRI is an index of country stability ratings for 24 emerging market countries. Its unique methodology measures a country’s ability to absorb political shocks. The GPRI evaluates political, social, economic, and security factors, using a combination of quantitative and qualitative data that is collected on the ground and through open source methods. Ratings are expressed on a scale of 0 to 100. Clear and concise analysis accompanies the index to illustrate what events impacted each country’s stability rating and make forecasts for the coming month.

Global Political Risk Index (GPRI), January 2010

The GPRI, which is produced by Eurasia Group, measures a country’s ability to absorb political shocks.The higher the number, the more stable the country.

SOUTH KOREA 77 HUNGARY 76 POLAND 76 BULGARIA 70 BRAZIL 68 MEXICO 68 SOUTH AFRICA 67 TURKEY 65 EGYPT 64 INDIA 63 RUSSIA 63 CHINA 62 COLOMBIA 61 SAUDI ARABIA 61 ALGERIA 60 ARGENTINA 60 THAILAND 59 INDONESIA 57 PHILIPPINES 57 UKRAINE 57 VENEZUELA 55 IRAN 49 NIGERIA 48 PAKISTAN 43

government society security economy

What does the GPRI measure?

The GPRI measures stability—defined as the capacity of a country to withstand internal and external shocks or crises—in 24 emerging market countries. Each country’s score is based on 20 indicators in four equally weighted subcategories: government, society, security, and economy.

Why is the GPRI calculated on a monthly schedule?

Monthly analysis allows for considered, rather than reactive, analysis on important developments in emerging markets. It places everyday occurrences into a larger context of comparative state stability.

Who scores the GPRI? How do you get your information?

Eurasia Group analysts in New York, Washington, DC, and London score and analyze the GPRI each month. Scoring is subject to a rigorous monthly review process to ensure consistent...