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The Short-Run Tradeoff between Inflation and Unemployment
Chapter 33
Copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc. All rights reserved. Requests for permission to make copies of any part of the work should be mailed to: Permissions Department, Harcourt College Publishers, 6277 Sea Harbor Drive, Orlando, Florida 32887-6777.
Unemployment and Inflation
u The
natural rate of unemployment depends on various features of the labor market. u Examples include minimum-wage laws, the market power of unions, the role of efficiency wages, and the effectiveness of job search.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Unemployment and Inflation
u The
inflation rate depends primarily on growth in the quantity of money, controlled by the Fed. u The misery index, one measure of the “health” of the economy, adds together the inflation rate and unemployment rate.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
1
Unemployment and Inflation
Society faces a short-run tradeoff between unemployment and inflation. u If policymakers expand aggregate demand, they can lower unemployment, but only at the cost of higher inflation. u If they contract aggregate demand, they can lower inflation, but at the cost of temporarily higher unemployment.
u
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The Phillips Curve
The Phillips curve illustrates the short-run relationship between inflation and unemployment.
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
The Phillips Curve...
Inflation Rate (percent per year) 6 B
2
A Phillips curve
0
4
7
Harcourt, Inc. items and derived items copyright © 2001 by Harcourt, Inc.
Unemployment Rate (percent)
2
Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply, and the Phillips Curve
u
The Phillips curve shows the short-run combinations of unemployment and inflation that arise as shifts in the aggregate demand curve...