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Modeling and Analyzing Cost, Schedule, and Performance in Complex System Product Development

by TYSON RODGERS BROWNING B.S., Engineering Physics Abilene Christian University, 1993 S.M., Technology and Policy S.M., Aeronautics and Astronautics Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1996 Submitted to the Technology, Management, and Policy Program in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in TECHNOLOGY, MANAGEMENT, AND POLICY at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY December 1998 © 1998 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. All rights reserved.

The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part.

Signature of Author.......................................................................................................................... Technology, Management, and Policy Program December 14, 1998 Certified by ...................................................................................................................................... Prof. Steven D. Eppinger Associate Professor of Management Certified by ...................................................................................................................................... Prof. John J. Deyst, Jr. Professor of Aeronautics and Astronautics Certified by ...................................................................................................................................... Dr. Daniel E. Whitney Senior Research Scientist Accepted by ..................................................................................................................................... Prof. Richard de Neufville Chairman, Technology and Policy Program

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Modeling and Analyzing Cost, Schedule, and Performance in Complex System Product Development

Tyson Rodgers Browning tyson@alum.mit.edu

Abstract

In the...