Submitted by: Submitted by wuchun0516
Views: 1146
Words: 329
Pages: 2
Category: Business and Industry
Date Submitted: 05/05/2012 04:37 PM
1.
Ameritrade's primary revenue sources are from transaction and interest, both of which are directly linked to the stock market. Ameritrade's investment project had the goal of offering low-cost automated service to self-directed investors, so the return on the project must be linked to the stock market as well. Therefore, we think that it makes sense to compare Ameritrade with deep-discount brokerage companies who have the same kind of sensitivity to the stock market. These companies are Charles-Schwab, E-trade, Quick & Reilly, and Waterhouse Investor Services.
2.
First, we calculated the monthly return data for Charles-Schwab, E-trade, Quick & Reilly, and Waterhouse Investor Services, adjusted for stock splits and dividends.
We then matched the monthly return data to the value-weighted monthly market return data to the stock's monthly returns.
With stock returns and market returns, we calculated the beta of each stock:
Charles-Schwab: 2.318
E-trade: 2.772
Quick & Reilly: 2.167
Waterhouse Investor Services: 1.390
Assuming that debt return is not correlated with the stock market, then the asset beta of each firm is simply stock beta * equity weight (we used the 1992-1996 average market value data if available):
Charles-Schwab: 2.318*0.92 = 2.133
E-trade: 2.772*1 = 2.772
Quick & Reilly: 2.167*1 = 2.167
Waterhouse Investor Services: 1.390*0.62 = 0.862
From Ameritrade's income statement, we know that its brokerage income makes up about 90% of its total revenue. E-trade has the closest number - 95%. So we think that E-trade's Beta should be used.
3.
Risk free rate = 6.61%
Beta = 2.772
We use average annual return of large company stocks (1950 - 1996) as our expected market return: 14.0%
Therefore expected project return = 6.61% + 2.772*( 14.0% - 6.61%) = 27.10%
We think that the 30-year bond yield is not appropriate, as the project will last much shorter than 30 years.