Straszheim Handout

ISI Group

2

China Research

Straszheim Handout

Table of Contents

Page

Page

3- 27 Macro

86- 94 Property Markets

ISI China  Forecast,  Economy Overview,  Data  Quality

Overview

Revenue/Earnings  Gro wth,  China  Exposure

Price  Indexes  &  Transaction  Volumes

Stimulus  ‐ Past and  Future

Floor Space  Started,  Completed,  and  Sold

GDP,  Role  in  and  Contribution  to  Global Econo my

Property Market Compo sition

Labor Force,  Productivity,  Aging  Demographics

Migration  and  Urban  Housing  Demand

Migration  &  Urbanization

Residential Property &  ʺSocial Housing ʺ

Govʹt &  Political Leadership,  Power Transition

Fixed  Asset Investment (FAI)

Wen ʹs  Go vʹt Work  Report at 2012  NPC Meeting s

Co nsumer &  Consumption

All Vehicles  &  Auto  Market

95-107 Equity Markets

Overview

Shanghai Composite  Index,  CSI 300,  QF II and  QDII

28- 40

Economic Activity

A ‐Share  Revenue,  Earnings,  and  Margin

Industrial Production  &  IVA

Comparison  of Equity Manias

PMI (MFG,  SRV)

Hong  Kong  Stock  Market and  Hang  Seng  Index

China  and  Baltic  Dry Index

Chinese  Equities  in  the  U.S.,  Greater China  ETFs

ECI,  BCI,  LEI,  MNI,  ISI China  Sales  Survey

IPOs  &  Reverse  Mergers

Co mmodity Prices

QFII and  QDII,  International Board

Electricity Consumption  vs.  GDP

Freight and  Passenger Traffic

Short‐term  Economic  Indicators

Price  of Commodities  and  Others

108-128 Energy

Overview,  China ʹs  F uel Choice

Electricity

Oil,  Co al,  Natural Gas  (including  Shale  Gas)

41- 52 Consumer Luxury

Overview

Global Renewable

Hydro,  Wind,  Solar,  Nuclear

Jewelry &  Watches

Co smetics  &  Perso nal Care

High ‐end  Passenger Cars

129-151 International

EU17,  China,  U.S.

Luxury Tourism  &  Hotels

China  and  the  Euro  ʹCrisis ʹ

Wine  &  Spirits

Currency &  Exchange  Rates

Gold  &  Other Precious  Metals

TICS,  FOREX...