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Date Submitted: 10/14/2015 06:22 AM
The Role of Financial Information
in Valuation, Cash Flow Analysis,
and Credit Risk Assessment
Learning objectives
1. The basic steps in corporate valuation.
2. What free cash flows are and how they are used to value a
company.
3. How accounting earnings are used in valuation.
4. Why current earnings are considered more useful than current
cash flows for assessing future cash flows.
5. How and why the permanent, transitory, and valuation-irrelevant
components of earnings affect price-earnings multiples.
Learning objectives:
6. What factors influence earnings quality.
7. How the abnormal earnings valuation approach is used
in practice.
8. How stock prices respond to “good news” and “bad news”
about earnings.
9. The importance of cash flow analysis and credit risk
assessment in lending decisions.
10. How to forecast a company’s financial statements.
Corporate valuation:
Overview
There are three steps involved in valuing a company:
Step 1: Forecast future amounts of the financial attribute that ultimately
determines how much a company is worth.
Step 2: Determine the risk or uncertainty associated with the forecasted
future amounts.
Step 3: Determine the discounted present value of the expected future
amounts using a discount rate that reflects the risk from Step 2.
• Free cash flows
• Accounting earnings
• Balance sheet book values
Corporate valuation:
Discounted free cash flow approach
This approach says the value per share (P0) of a company’s
common stock is given by:
• CFt is the future free cash flow (per share) available to common equity holders at period t.
• r is the discount rate appropriate for the risk and uncertainty of the forecasted free cash
flows.
•
1
(1 r ) t
is the discount factor for forecasted cash flows in period t.
• E0 is investors’ expectations (at time 0) about future free cash flows.
Corporate valuation:
DCF illustration
Estimated DCF
value per share
Goodwill...