Proba

[pic]

Four years after the financial crisis began the IMF said confidence in the world banking system was yet to be fully restored, with many advanced nations still "living dangerously" – and huge flows of volatile capital into emerging market economies were creating fresh threats to financial stability and global recovery.

Adding to recent criticism of the slow pace of America's attempts to reduce its borrowings, the IMF's Financial Counsellor, José Viñals, said that, because of their huge debts, both the US and Japan were "vulnerable" to any rise in interest rates unless they took "decisive action... over the medium term".

The IMF said the banks were far from fixed, and those in Europe were especially "weak", with about a third of the EU's banks operating with inadequate capital buffers. "Structural weaknesses and vulnerabilities in the euro area pose downside risks".

However, Mr Viñals was more encouraging on the largest single threat to the survival of the single currency – a Spanish sovereign debt crisis. He said Spain had "decoupled" from the problems experienced by Greece, Ireland and Portugal, although the authorities would need to continue to work hard to regain the confidence of the markets. He saw no need for Greece or Ireland to default or "restructure" their debts.

The "good news", Mr Viñals said in launching the IMF's latest global Financial Stability Report, was that risks have declined since the last review in October, thanks to the gradual economic recovery and a continuing support from central banks keeping interest rates low and governments keeping spending high.

The "not so good" news was that those monetary and fiscal polices were "masking" serious underlying fiscal vulnerabilities, and the "legacy of debt" in many rich economies was weighing on household, financial and national balance sheets, leaving risks high.

Looking forward to the EU's next round of bank "stress tests" in June, Mr Viñals urged the authorities to ensure these were...