Submitted by: Submitted by tufeichenhao
Views: 169
Words: 939
Pages: 4
Category: Other Topics
Date Submitted: 09/22/2012 06:10 PM
Answer:
1)
According to the scenario 2, there is 30% possibility that the company would face tough competition from new competitors in the market. Therefore, the possibility that the Pharmaceutical Company would run at full capacity is 70%.
If the Pharmaceutical Company would run at full capacity, the detail is as follow:
Year 0: $400,000 capital expenditure cash outflow
Year 1: $700,000 business value cash inflow
$400,000*15%=$60,000 interest repayment cash outflow
NPV=-400000+7000001+15%-400000×15%1+15%
= 156521.65
If the company would face tough competition from new competitors in the market, the detail is as follow:
Year 0: $400,000 capital expenditure cash outflow
Year 1: $340, 000 business value cash inflow
$400,000*15%=$60,000 interest repayment cash outflow
NPV=-400000+3400001+15%-400000×15%1+15%
= -156521.74
According to the two scenarios and their possibilities, this project’s NPV is :
NPV=70%×156521.65+30%×(-156521.74)
=109565.16-46956.52
=$62608.64
As the NPV is positive, the firm should invest in this project.
2)
Under the Pessimistic situation, the detail is as follow:
Variables | Pessimistic |
Interest Rate | 20.00% |
Initial investment | $500,000 |
Probablity of failure | 50.00% |
Business worth(Full capacity) | $600,000 |
Business worth(tough competition) | $240,000 |
If the Pharmaceutical Company would run at full capacity, the detail is as follow:
Year 0: $500,000 capital expenditure cash outflow
Year 1: $600,000...